The 3-Point Percentage Inflection Point

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Well, that’s embarrassing. Modern NBA media and analytics put extreme emphasis on the 3-point shot and its efficiency over several 2-point shots. After all, 3 > 2 is indisputable. Out of all the metrics created, 3 point percentage…

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Distribution of Point Margins: Winning at Home vs. Away

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This is my third post about point margins. At the risk of boring my readers with the same, seemingly mundane topic, I decided to write about it because I believe understanding point margins is of vital importance to formulating…

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A Reshaped, Modern Playoff Format with Fresh Drama

Why should we do this anyways? The old format works fine. Now hear me out. I’m not saying the current playoff formatting is broken. I think it’s pretty optimal for scheduling purposes, but it’s just that. There are…

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Predict winning teams in the Playoffs

This post is a sequel to my last post: Using Regular Season Matchup Records to Predict Winning Teams in the Playoffs. In that post, we used regular-season matchup records to predict which team will advance to the next round…

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Using regular-season matchup records to predict winning teams in the Playoffs

Question: “Can I reliably predict which team will advance to the next round of the Playoffs by leveraging teams’ regular-season matchup records?” Before entering the Playoffs, each team has opportunities play against every other team in the league (3…

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Point Margins Distribution: Regular Season vs. Playoffs

Yesterday, I started participating in a point spread betting competition with a few project collaborators for fun. Trying to be methodical, I wanted to get as much information as possible about each matchup and about the games themselves instead…

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Rankings that best predict NBA playoffs championship winners

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The 2017-18 NBA playoffs season has begun, and I figured it might be fitting to write a post related to NBA playoffs championships. I was looking at NBA teams’ regular-season rankings yesterday, provided via NBA Stats, and I was…

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Using All-Star games to predict which conference will take the Championship title

For some readers, this post may no longer be relevant due to the fact that, since the 2017-18 season, the All-Star games will no longer feature East versus West matchups. Instead, in the new format, two captains create their…

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Riddle #1: What is the relationship between Average Team Possessions and Average Team Field Goal Percentage?

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This is a riddle/challenge that I’m posting for the readers. I cannot figure this out on my own and I’m requesting your help. I plotted these three charts when I was analyzing some basketball trends over the years:…

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Are Teams Shooting More 3-Point Shots than Before?

Stephen Curry’s all-time record of 402 3-point shots made in the 2015-16 season was simply amazing. At the time of this writing, Curry holds the record for having made the most number of 3-point shots in a single…

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