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The 3-Point Percentage Inflection Point
Well, that’s embarrassing. Modern NBA media and analytics put extreme emphasis on the 3-point shot and its efficiency over several 2-point shots. After all, 3 > 2 is indisputable. Out of all the metrics created, 3 point percentage…
Read More »Distribution of Point Margins: Winning at Home vs. Away
This is my third post about point margins. At the risk of boring my readers with the same, seemingly mundane topic, I decided to write about it because I believe understanding point margins is of vital importance to formulating…
Read More »Predict winning teams in the Playoffs
This post is a sequel to my last post: Using Regular Season Matchup Records to Predict Winning Teams in the Playoffs. In that post, we used regular-season matchup records to predict which team will advance to the next round…
Read More »Using regular-season matchup records to predict winning teams in the Playoffs
Question: “Can I reliably predict which team will advance to the next round of the Playoffs by leveraging teams’ regular-season matchup records?” Before entering the Playoffs, each team has opportunities play against every other team in the league (3…
Read More »Point Margins Distribution: Regular Season vs. Playoffs
Yesterday, I started participating in a point spread betting competition with a few project collaborators for fun. Trying to be methodical, I wanted to get as much information as possible about each matchup and about the games themselves instead…
Read More »Rankings that best predict NBA playoffs championship winners
The 2017-18 NBA playoffs season has begun, and I figured it might be fitting to write a post related to NBA playoffs championships. I was looking at NBA teams’ regular-season rankings yesterday, provided via NBA Stats, and I was…
Read More »Are Teams Shooting More 3-Point Shots than Before?
Stephen Curry’s all-time record of 402 3-point shots made in the 2015-16 season was simply amazing. At the time of this writing, Curry holds the record for having made the most number of 3-point shots in a single…
Read More »Old Championships, Modern Players
Introduction A few weeks ago, I saw a post on the NBA subreddit putting the 2003 San Antonio Spurs’ championship into perspective by comparing its roster to current players. While the original author’s logic is far too simple…
Read More »The Most Important Metric that Determines a Game’s Outcome
There are many metrics that fans use to describe a basketball game: points, field goal percentage (FGP), 3-pointer field goal percentage, free throw percentage, assists, steals, blocks, turnovers, rebounds, and many, many more. My question is this: “What’s…
Read More »Should Teams Shoot More 3-Point Shots? Finding the Right Balance Between 2-Point and 3-Point Shots
In basketball, a player can shoot either a 2-point shot or 3-point shot. Each 3-point shot made generates one extra point compared to a 2-point shot made. But it’s also more difficult to make a 3-point shot than…
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